NBA
Dallas Mavericks
vs
Indiana Pacers
Tue 10 Nov 2026, 01:00 · FT 125 - 122
Model probability
60.2%
Basketball · Pace, offence / defence and rest drive the points-based model.
Moneyline (Winner)
Indiana Pacers
Confidence
57.2 low
Data quality
70%
sample 2
Basketball projection
Where our points-based model sees the game ending up.
Dallas Mavericks
114.0
Projected score
Indiana Pacers by 3.0
Indiana Pacers
116.9
- Expected total points
- 230.9
- League average (per team)
- 112.5
- Model edge
- 10.2 pts over even
Team-by-team inputs
| Metric | Dallas Mavericks | Indiana Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| Current form |
|
|
| Offence |
|
|
| Defence |
|
|
| Overall strength |
|
|
| Points scored (avg) | 112.8 | 114.8 |
| Points conceded (avg) | 112.8 | 113.2 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
Head-to-head
Only counted when both sides have met before
Why this Basketball pick?
Basketball points model — projected score 114–117, form 50/61, pace 230.9 pts, data quality 70%. Missing: statistics, lineup.
Model basketball_v1 · sample size 2 · data quality 70%
Missing sources: statistics, lineup
Outcome: LOST · Lost — Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers (125 - 122), selection "Indiana Pacers" => LOST.
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