NBA
Houston Rockets
vs
Denver Nuggets
Tue 10 Nov 2026, 01:30 · FT 110 - 100
Model probability
83.9%
Basketball · Pace, offence / defence and rest drive the points-based model.
Moneyline (Winner)
Houston Rockets
Confidence
68.6 medium
Data quality
55%
sample 2
Basketball projection
Where our points-based model sees the game ending up.
Houston Rockets
120.7
Projected score
Houston Rockets by 11.4
Denver Nuggets
109.4
- Expected total points
- 230.1
- League average (per team)
- 112.5
- Model edge
- 33.9 pts over even
Team-by-team inputs
| Metric | Houston Rockets | Denver Nuggets |
|---|---|---|
| Current form |
|
|
| Offence |
|
|
| Defence |
|
|
| Overall strength |
|
|
| Points scored (avg) | 113.9 | 112.5 |
| Points conceded (avg) | 112.8 | 113.4 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
Head-to-head
Only counted when both sides have met before
Why this Basketball pick?
Basketball points model — projected score 121–109, form 94/44, pace 230.1 pts, data quality 55%. Missing: h2h, statistics, lineup.
Model basketball_v1 · sample size 2 · data quality 55%
Missing sources: h2h, statistics, lineup
Outcome: WON · Won — Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets (110 - 100), selection "Houston Rockets" => WON.
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