NBA
Utah Jazz
vs
Miami Heat
Wed 11 Nov 2026, 02:00
Model probability
88.3%
Basketball · Pace, offence / defence and rest drive the points-based model.
Moneyline (Winner)
Miami Heat
Confidence
71.0 medium
Data quality
55%
sample 6
Basketball projection
Where our points-based model sees the game ending up.
Utah Jazz
109.8
Projected score
Miami Heat by 13.7
Miami Heat
123.4
- Expected total points
- 233.2
- League average (per team)
- 112.5
- Model edge
- 38.3 pts over even
Team-by-team inputs
| Metric | Utah Jazz | Miami Heat |
|---|---|---|
| Current form |
|
|
| Offence |
|
|
| Defence |
|
|
| Overall strength |
|
|
| Points scored (avg) | 108.9 | 116.0 |
| Points conceded (avg) | 115.4 | 115.5 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
Head-to-head
Only counted when both sides have met before
Why this Basketball pick?
Basketball points model — projected score 110–123, form 0/55, pace 233.2 pts, data quality 55%. Missing: h2h, statistics, lineup.
Model basketball_v1 · sample size 6 · data quality 55%
Missing sources: h2h, statistics, lineup
More Basketball tips for Utah Jazz vs Miami Heat
Every market is generated by the same Basketball model. See all Basketball tips →