NBA
Toronto Raptors
vs
Boston Celtics
Thu 12 Nov 2026, 00:00
Model probability
93.0%
Basketball · Pace, offence / defence and rest drive the points-based model.
Moneyline (Winner)
Boston Celtics
Confidence
73.7 medium
Data quality
55%
sample 8
Basketball projection
Where our points-based model sees the game ending up.
Toronto Raptors
103.7
Projected score
Boston Celtics by 17.0
Boston Celtics
120.7
- Expected total points
- 224.3
- League average (per team)
- 111.3
- Model edge
- 43.0 pts over even
Team-by-team inputs
| Metric | Toronto Raptors | Boston Celtics |
|---|---|---|
| Current form |
|
|
| Offence |
|
|
| Defence |
|
|
| Overall strength |
|
|
| Points scored (avg) | 114.1 | 114.2 |
| Points conceded (avg) | 113.5 | 102.8 |
| Rest days | 1 | 0 |
Head-to-head
Only counted when both sides have met before
Why this Basketball pick?
Basketball points model — projected score 104–121, form 45/100, pace 224.3 pts, data quality 55%. Missing: h2h, statistics, lineup.
Model basketball_v1 · sample size 8 · data quality 55%
Missing sources: h2h, statistics, lineup
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