NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
vs
Dallas Mavericks
Fri 13 Nov 2026, 01:00
Model probability
69.0%
Basketball · Pace, offence / defence and rest drive the points-based model.
Moneyline (Winner)
Minnesota Timberwolves
Confidence
60.4 medium
Data quality
55%
sample 7
Basketball projection
Where our points-based model sees the game ending up.
Minnesota Timberwolves
114.7
Projected score
Minnesota Timberwolves by 5.7
Dallas Mavericks
109.0
- Expected total points
- 223.7
- League average (per team)
- 112.5
- Model edge
- 19.0 pts over even
Team-by-team inputs
| Metric | Minnesota Timberwolves | Dallas Mavericks |
|---|---|---|
| Current form |
|
|
| Offence |
|
|
| Defence |
|
|
| Overall strength |
|
|
| Points scored (avg) | 113.6 | 114.5 |
| Points conceded (avg) | 108.0 | 110.6 |
| Rest days | 4 | 3 |
Head-to-head
Only counted when both sides have met before
Why this Basketball pick?
Basketball points model — projected score 115–109, form 88/78, pace 223.7 pts, data quality 55%. Missing: h2h, statistics, lineup.
Model basketball_v1 · sample size 7 · data quality 55%
Missing sources: h2h, statistics, lineup
More Basketball tips for Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks
Every market is generated by the same Basketball model. See all Basketball tips →