NBA
Miami Heat
vs
Detroit Pistons
Sun 15 Nov 2026, 01:00
Model probability
85.1%
Basketball · Pace, offence / defence and rest drive the points-based model.
Moneyline (Winner)
Detroit Pistons
Confidence
74.6 medium
Data quality
70%
sample 9
Basketball projection
Where our points-based model sees the game ending up.
Miami Heat
108.8
Projected score
Detroit Pistons by 12.0
Detroit Pistons
120.8
- Expected total points
- 229.6
- League average (per team)
- 112.5
- Model edge
- 35.1 pts over even
Team-by-team inputs
| Metric | Miami Heat | Detroit Pistons |
|---|---|---|
| Current form |
|
|
| Offence |
|
|
| Defence |
|
|
| Overall strength |
|
|
| Points scored (avg) | 116.0 | 113.4 |
| Points conceded (avg) | 115.5 | 107.4 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
Head-to-head
Only counted when both sides have met before
Why this Basketball pick?
Basketball points model — projected score 109–121, form 55/77, pace 229.6 pts, data quality 70%. Missing: statistics, lineup.
Model basketball_v1 · sample size 9 · data quality 70%
Missing sources: statistics, lineup
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