NBA
Utah Jazz
vs
San Antonio Spurs
Sun 15 Nov 2026, 22:00
Model probability
99.5%
Basketball · Pace, offence / defence and rest drive the points-based model.
Moneyline (Winner)
San Antonio Spurs
Confidence
77.2 high
Data quality
55%
sample 5
Basketball projection
Where our points-based model sees the game ending up.
Utah Jazz
100.5
Projected score
San Antonio Spurs by 29.5
San Antonio Spurs
129.9
- Expected total points
- 230.4
- League average (per team)
- 112.5
- Model edge
- 49.5 pts over even
Team-by-team inputs
| Metric | Utah Jazz | San Antonio Spurs |
|---|---|---|
| Current form |
|
|
| Offence |
|
|
| Defence |
|
|
| Overall strength |
|
|
| Points scored (avg) | 108.9 | 117.8 |
| Points conceded (avg) | 115.4 | 109.5 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Only counted when both sides have met before
Why this Basketball pick?
Basketball points model — projected score 100–130, form 0/100, pace 230.4 pts, data quality 55%. Missing: h2h, statistics, lineup.
Model basketball_v1 · sample size 5 · data quality 55%
Missing sources: h2h, statistics, lineup
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