NBA
Boston Celtics
vs
Dallas Mavericks
Sun 15 Nov 2026, 23:00
Model probability
97.6%
Basketball · Pace, offence / defence and rest drive the points-based model.
Moneyline (Winner)
Boston Celtics
Confidence
76.2 high
Data quality
55%
sample 9
Basketball projection
Where our points-based model sees the game ending up.
Boston Celtics
120.3
Projected score
Boston Celtics by 22.7
Dallas Mavericks
97.6
- Expected total points
- 217.8
- League average (per team)
- 112.7
- Model edge
- 47.6 pts over even
Team-by-team inputs
| Metric | Boston Celtics | Dallas Mavericks |
|---|---|---|
| Current form |
|
|
| Offence |
|
|
| Defence |
|
|
| Overall strength |
|
|
| Points scored (avg) | 113.0 | 112.6 |
| Points conceded (avg) | 101.9 | 112.6 |
| Rest days | 3 | 0 |
Head-to-head
Only counted when both sides have met before
Why this Basketball pick?
Basketball points model — projected score 120–98, form 100/58, pace 217.8 pts, data quality 55%. Missing: h2h, statistics, lineup.
Model basketball_v1 · sample size 9 · data quality 55%
Missing sources: h2h, statistics, lineup
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