NBA
Atlanta Hawks
vs
Miami Heat
Wed 28 Oct 2026, 23:00
Model probability
94.6%
Basketball · Pace, offence / defence and rest drive the points-based model.
Moneyline (Winner)
Atlanta Hawks
Confidence
74.5 medium
Data quality
55%
sample 2
Basketball projection
Where our points-based model sees the game ending up.
Atlanta Hawks
124.2
Projected score
Atlanta Hawks by 18.5
Miami Heat
105.8
- Expected total points
- 230.0
- League average (per team)
- 113.6
- Model edge
- 44.6 pts over even
Team-by-team inputs
| Metric | Atlanta Hawks | Miami Heat |
|---|---|---|
| Current form |
|
|
| Offence |
|
|
| Defence |
|
|
| Overall strength |
|
|
| Points scored (avg) | 115.7 | 112.7 |
| Points conceded (avg) | 110.0 | 115.9 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Only counted when both sides have met before
Why this Basketball pick?
Basketball points model — projected score 124–106, form 70/0, pace 230.0 pts, data quality 55%. Missing: h2h, statistics, lineup.
Model basketball_v1 · sample size 2 · data quality 55%
Missing sources: h2h, statistics, lineup
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