NBA
Atlanta Hawks
vs
Cleveland Cavaliers
Fri 30 Oct 2026, 00:00 · FT 114 - 111
Model probability
84.1%
Basketball · Pace, offence / defence and rest drive the points-based model.
Moneyline (Winner)
Atlanta Hawks
Confidence
68.7 medium
Data quality
55%
sample 2
Basketball projection
Where our points-based model sees the game ending up.
Atlanta Hawks
120.7
Projected score
Atlanta Hawks by 11.5
Cleveland Cavaliers
109.2
- Expected total points
- 229.9
- League average (per team)
- 113.6
- Model edge
- 34.1 pts over even
Team-by-team inputs
| Metric | Atlanta Hawks | Cleveland Cavaliers |
|---|---|---|
| Current form |
|
|
| Offence |
|
|
| Defence |
|
|
| Overall strength |
|
|
| Points scored (avg) | 115.7 | 114.2 |
| Points conceded (avg) | 110.0 | 114.7 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Only counted when both sides have met before
Why this Basketball pick?
Basketball points model — projected score 121–109, form 70/46, pace 229.9 pts, data quality 55%. Missing: h2h, statistics, lineup.
Model basketball_v1 · sample size 2 · data quality 55%
Missing sources: h2h, statistics, lineup
Outcome: WON · Won — Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers (114 - 111), selection "Atlanta Hawks" => WON.
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