NBA
Dallas Mavericks
vs
Houston Rockets
Sat 31 Oct 2026, 00:00
Model probability
73.3%
Basketball · Pace, offence / defence and rest drive the points-based model.
Moneyline (Winner)
Houston Rockets
Confidence
62.8 medium
Data quality
55%
sample 2
Basketball projection
Where our points-based model sees the game ending up.
Dallas Mavericks
111.9
Projected score
Houston Rockets by 7.2
Houston Rockets
119.0
- Expected total points
- 230.9
- League average (per team)
- 113.6
- Model edge
- 23.3 pts over even
Team-by-team inputs
| Metric | Dallas Mavericks | Houston Rockets |
|---|---|---|
| Current form |
|
|
| Offence |
|
|
| Defence |
|
|
| Overall strength |
|
|
| Points scored (avg) | 113.6 | 114.9 |
| Points conceded (avg) | 113.6 | 113.7 |
| Rest days | 4 | 2 |
Head-to-head
Only counted when both sides have met before
Why this Basketball pick?
Basketball points model — projected score 112–119, form 50/94, pace 230.9 pts, data quality 55%. Missing: h2h, statistics, lineup.
Model basketball_v1 · sample size 2 · data quality 55%
Missing sources: h2h, statistics, lineup
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