NBA
Indiana Pacers
vs
Atlanta Hawks
Tue 03 Nov 2026, 00:30 · FT 104 - 108
Model probability
78.4%
Basketball · Pace, offence / defence and rest drive the points-based model.
Moneyline (Winner)
Atlanta Hawks
Confidence
65.6 medium
Data quality
55%
sample 2
Basketball projection
Where our points-based model sees the game ending up.
Indiana Pacers
110.7
Projected score
Atlanta Hawks by 9.0
Atlanta Hawks
119.7
- Expected total points
- 230.4
- League average (per team)
- 113.5
- Model edge
- 28.4 pts over even
Team-by-team inputs
| Metric | Indiana Pacers | Atlanta Hawks |
|---|---|---|
| Current form |
|
|
| Offence |
|
|
| Defence |
|
|
| Overall strength |
|
|
| Points scored (avg) | 115.5 | 115.7 |
| Points conceded (avg) | 113.9 | 109.9 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
Head-to-head
Only counted when both sides have met before
Why this Basketball pick?
Basketball points model — projected score 111–120, form 61/70, pace 230.4 pts, data quality 55%. Missing: h2h, statistics, lineup.
Model basketball_v1 · sample size 2 · data quality 55%
Missing sources: h2h, statistics, lineup
Outcome: WON · Won — Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks (104 - 108), selection "Atlanta Hawks" => WON.
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