NBA
Dallas Mavericks
vs
Sacramento Kings
Tue 03 Nov 2026, 01:00 · FT 100 - 115
Model probability
74.2%
Basketball · Pace, offence / defence and rest drive the points-based model.
Moneyline (Winner)
Dallas Mavericks
Confidence
63.3 medium
Data quality
55%
sample 2
Basketball projection
Where our points-based model sees the game ending up.
Dallas Mavericks
119.1
Projected score
Dallas Mavericks by 7.5
Sacramento Kings
111.6
- Expected total points
- 230.7
- League average (per team)
- 113.5
- Model edge
- 24.2 pts over even
Team-by-team inputs
| Metric | Dallas Mavericks | Sacramento Kings |
|---|---|---|
| Current form |
|
|
| Offence |
|
|
| Defence |
|
|
| Overall strength |
|
|
| Points scored (avg) | 113.5 | 113.3 |
| Points conceded (avg) | 113.5 | 115.1 |
| Rest days | 3 | 2 |
Head-to-head
Only counted when both sides have met before
Why this Basketball pick?
Basketball points model — projected score 119–112, form 50/0, pace 230.7 pts, data quality 55%. Missing: h2h, statistics, lineup.
Model basketball_v1 · sample size 2 · data quality 55%
Missing sources: h2h, statistics, lineup
Outcome: LOST · Lost — Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings (100 - 115), selection "Dallas Mavericks" => LOST.
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