NBA
Golden State Warriors
vs
Miami Heat
Fri 06 Nov 2026, 03:00
Model probability
85.2%
Basketball · Pace, offence / defence and rest drive the points-based model.
Moneyline (Winner)
Golden State Warriors
Confidence
58.8 low
Data quality
25%
sample 2
Basketball projection
Where our points-based model sees the game ending up.
Golden State Warriors
121.0
Projected score
Golden State Warriors by 12.0
Miami Heat
109.0
- Expected total points
- 229.9
- League average (per team)
- 112.8
- Model edge
- 35.2 pts over even
Team-by-team inputs
| Metric | Golden State Warriors | Miami Heat |
|---|---|---|
| Current form |
|
|
| Offence |
|
|
| Defence |
|
|
| Overall strength |
|
|
| Points scored (avg) | 112.8 | 112.1 |
| Points conceded (avg) | 112.8 | 115.3 |
| Rest days | 4 | 6 |
Head-to-head
Only counted when both sides have met before
Why this Basketball pick?
Basketball points model — projected score 121–109, form 50/0, pace 229.9 pts, data quality 25%. Missing: form, h2h, statistics, lineup.
Model basketball_v1 · sample size 2 · data quality 25%
Missing sources: form, h2h, statistics, lineup
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