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Football model football_v1

Serie A

Napoli crest Napoli vs AS Roma crest AS Roma

Sat 24 Oct 2026, 16:00 · FT 3 - 3

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

58.3 low

Data quality

40%

sample 4

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Napoli

1.71

Expected goals

total 3.65

AS Roma

1.94

Metric Napoli AS Roma
Current form
52%
65%
Attack
57%
61%
Defence
46%
57%
Overall strength
64%
57%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
50%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.71–1.94, form 52/65, H2H 50%, data quality 40%. Missing: h2h, standings, statistics, availability, lineup.

Model football_v1 · sample size 4 · data quality 40%

Missing sources: h2h, standings, statistics, availability, lineup

Outcome WON · Won — Napoli vs AS Roma (3 - 3), selection "Over 2.5" => WON.