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Football model football_v1

Ligue 1

Paris Saint-Germain crest Paris Saint-Germain vs Troyes crest Troyes

Sat 07 Nov 2026, 20:05

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

77.9 high

Data quality

84%

sample 9

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Paris Saint-Germain

3.82

Expected goals

total 4.54

Troyes

0.72

Metric Paris Saint-Germain Troyes
Current form
95%
8%
Attack
80%
28%
Defence
55%
40%
Overall strength
82%
32%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
87%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 3.82–0.72, form 95/8, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 9 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h