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Football model football_v1

Eredivisie

Excelsior crest Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles crest Go Ahead Eagles

Sat 07 Nov 2026, 20:00

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

73.2 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 8

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Excelsior

1.72

Expected goals

total 4.09

Go Ahead Eagles

2.36

Metric Excelsior Go Ahead Eagles
Current form
12%
39%
Attack
35%
50%
Defence
38%
43%
Overall strength
39%
43%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
52%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.72–2.36, form 12/39, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 8 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h