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Football model football_v1

Liga Portugal

Alverca crest Alverca vs Casa Pia crest Casa Pia

Sat 07 Nov 2026, 18:00

1X2 (Straight Win)

1

Confidence

54.4 low

Data quality

84%

sample 6

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Alverca

1.70

Expected goals

total 2.64

Casa Pia

0.94

Metric Alverca Casa Pia
Current form
61%
43%
Attack
59%
42%
Defence
56%
53%
Overall strength
60%
54%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
64%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.70–0.94, form 61/43, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 6 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h