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Football model football_v1

Honduran Liga Nacional

UPNFM crest UPNFM vs FC Motagua crest FC Motagua

Sat 07 Nov 2026, 23:15

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

60.5 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 1

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

UPNFM

1.33

Expected goals

total 3.22

FC Motagua

1.89

Metric UPNFM FC Motagua
Current form
8%
100%
Attack
42%
51%
Defence
54%
58%
Overall strength
31%
77%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
8%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.33–1.89, form 8/100, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h