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Football model football_v1

Serie A

Monza crest Monza vs Atalanta crest Atalanta

Sun 08 Nov 2026, 14:00

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

79.8 high

Data quality

84%

sample 7

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Monza

2.83

Expected goals

total 4.75

Atalanta

1.92

Metric Monza Atalanta
Current form
43%
31%
Attack
59%
55%
Defence
44%
38%
Overall strength
57%
38%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
52%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 2.83–1.92, form 43/31, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 7 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h