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Football model football_v1

Ligue 1

Lens crest Lens vs Marseille crest Marseille

Sun 08 Nov 2026, 19:45

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

66.3 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 10

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Lens

1.66

Expected goals

total 3.58

Marseille

1.92

Metric Lens Marseille
Current form
51%
54%
Attack
47%
60%
Defence
48%
50%
Overall strength
56%
52%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
56%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.66–1.92, form 51/54, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 10 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h