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Football model football_v1

Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar crest AZ Alkmaar vs FC Groningen crest FC Groningen

Sun 08 Nov 2026, 15:45

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

68.6 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 10

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

AZ Alkmaar

1.94

Expected goals

total 3.74

FC Groningen

1.80

Metric AZ Alkmaar FC Groningen
Current form
53%
55%
Attack
45%
60%
Defence
60%
51%
Overall strength
60%
60%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
55%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.94–1.80, form 53/55, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 10 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h