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Football model football_v1

Women's Super League

Aston Villa crest Aston Villa vs Manchester United crest Manchester United

Sun 08 Nov 2026, 12:00 · FT 0 - 1

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

67.3 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 1

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Aston Villa

2.13

Expected goals

total 3.65

Manchester United

1.52

Metric Aston Villa Manchester United
Current form
93%
38%
Attack
57%
47%
Defence
48%
53%
Overall strength
77%
50%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
75%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 2.13–1.52, form 93/38, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h

Outcome LOST · Lost — Aston Villa vs Manchester United (0 - 1), selection "Over 2.5" => LOST.