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Football model football_v1

Liga AUF Uruguaya

Cerro Largo crest Cerro Largo vs Progreso crest Progreso

Thu 12 Nov 2026, 23:00

Double Chance

12

Confidence

68.9 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 1

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Cerro Largo

1.34

Expected goals

total 2.33

Progreso

0.99

Metric Cerro Largo Progreso
Current form
100%
93%
Attack
55%
48%
Defence
58%
58%
Overall strength
87%
79%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
54%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.34–0.99, form 100/93, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h