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Football model football_v1

Brazil Serie B

Fortaleza crest Fortaleza vs Vila Nova crest Vila Nova

Sat 14 Nov 2026, 19:30

Double Chance

12

Confidence

74.3 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 1

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Fortaleza

2.06

Expected goals

total 3.59

Vila Nova

1.53

Metric Fortaleza Vila Nova
Current form
38%
8%
Attack
54%
54%
Defence
46%
40%
Overall strength
50%
37%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
36%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 2.06–1.53, form 38/8, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h