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Football model football_v1

Liga de Expansion MX

Leones Negros crest Leones Negros vs Club Atlético Morelia crest Club Atlético Morelia

Sun 15 Nov 2026, 18:00

Double Chance

12

Confidence

73.2 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 4

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Leones Negros

1.89

Expected goals

total 3.09

Club Atlético Morelia

1.21

Metric Leones Negros Club Atlético Morelia
Current form
75%
69%
Attack
56%
56%
Defence
60%
48%
Overall strength
76%
65%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
52%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.89–1.21, form 75/69, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 4 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h