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Football model football_v1

Première Ligue

Toulouse vs Marseille

Fri 20 Nov 2026, 20:00

Double Chance

12

Confidence

76.1 high

Data quality

84%

sample 3

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Toulouse

2.50

Expected goals

total 4.26

Marseille

1.76

Metric Toulouse Marseille
Current form
34%
0%
Attack
46%
42%
Defence
36%
34%
Overall strength
57%
35%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
37%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 2.50–1.76, form 34/0, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 3 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h