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Football model football_v1

Taca de Portugal

FC Porto crest FC Porto vs Paredes

Fri 20 Nov 2026, 20:45

Double Chance

12

Confidence

55.4 low

Data quality

19%

sample 9

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

FC Porto

1.90

Expected goals

total 3.08

Paredes

1.19

Metric FC Porto Paredes
Current form
64%
50%
Attack
62%
50%
Defence
53%
50%
Overall strength
62%
49%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
50%
Availability (injuries)
75%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.90–1.19, form 64/50, H2H 50%, data quality 19%. Missing: form, h2h, standings, statistics.

Model football_v1 · sample size 9 · data quality 19%

Missing sources: form, h2h, standings, statistics