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Football model football_v1

MLS

Philadelphia Union crest Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution crest New England Revolution

Sat 24 Oct 2026, 23:30 · FT 1 - 2

Double Chance

12

Confidence

80.3 high

Data quality

84%

sample 9

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Philadelphia Union

3.42

Expected goals

total 4.94

New England Revolution

1.52

Metric Philadelphia Union New England Revolution
Current form
89%
58%
Attack
78%
49%
Defence
52%
46%
Overall strength
86%
62%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
60%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 3.42–1.52, form 89/58, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 9 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h

Outcome WON · Won — Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution (1 - 2), selection "12" => WON.