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Football model football_v1

MLS

Toronto FC crest Toronto FC vs D.C. United crest D.C. United

Wed 28 Oct 2026, 23:30

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

72.7 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 10

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Toronto FC

2.72

Expected goals

total 4.05

D.C. United

1.33

Metric Toronto FC D.C. United
Current form
42%
19%
Attack
51%
36%
Defence
42%
34%
Overall strength
54%
32%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
58%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 2.72–1.33, form 42/19, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 10 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h