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Football model football_v1

Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam crest Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax Amsterdam crest Ajax Amsterdam

Sun 25 Oct 2026, 15:45 · FT 1 - 2

Double Chance

12

Confidence

80.8 high

Data quality

84%

sample 7

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Sparta Rotterdam

1.69

Expected goals

total 5.50

Ajax Amsterdam

3.81

Metric Sparta Rotterdam Ajax Amsterdam
Current form
28%
77%
Attack
47%
71%
Defence
37%
57%
Overall strength
44%
79%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
19%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.69–3.81, form 28/77, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 7 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h

Outcome WON · Won — Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax Amsterdam (1 - 2), selection "12" => WON.