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Football model football_v1

Premier League

Manchester City crest Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion crest Brighton & Hove Albion

Sat 31 Oct 2026, 15:00

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

76.8 high

Data quality

84%

sample 10

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Manchester City

1.80

Expected goals

total 4.43

Brighton & Hove Albion

2.63

Metric Manchester City Brighton & Hove Albion
Current form
70%
82%
Attack
87%
81%
Defence
41%
67%
Overall strength
76%
71%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
60%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.80–2.63, form 70/82, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 10 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h