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Football model football_v1

Liga MX

América crest América vs Toluca crest Toluca

Sun 01 Nov 2026, 03:00

Double Chance

12

Confidence

70.6 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 1

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

América

1.33

Expected goals

total 2.75

Toluca

1.41

Metric América Toluca
Current form
8%
38%
Attack
48%
48%
Defence
46%
52%
Overall strength
31%
48%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
36%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.33–1.41, form 8/38, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h