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Football model football_v1

Championship

Lincoln City crest Lincoln City vs Burnley crest Burnley

Sat 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 · FT 4 - 1

1X2 (Straight Win)

2

Confidence

59.8 low

Data quality

40%

sample 3

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Lincoln City

1.15

Expected goals

total 4.17

Burnley

3.02

Metric Lincoln City Burnley
Current form
8%
54%
Attack
41%
66%
Defence
14%
49%
Overall strength
37%
64%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
50%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.15–3.02, form 8/54, H2H 50%, data quality 40%. Missing: h2h, standings, statistics, availability, lineup.

Model football_v1 · sample size 3 · data quality 40%

Missing sources: h2h, standings, statistics, availability, lineup

Outcome LOST · Lost — Lincoln City vs Burnley (4 - 1), selection "2" => LOST.