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Football model football_v1

Liga Portugal

Arouca crest Arouca vs C.D. Nacional crest C.D. Nacional

Sun 01 Nov 2026, 15:30

Double Chance

1X

Confidence

81.1 high

Data quality

84%

sample 6

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Arouca

2.13

Expected goals

total 2.95

C.D. Nacional

0.81

Metric Arouca C.D. Nacional
Current form
57%
16%
Attack
44%
41%
Defence
61%
28%
Overall strength
64%
30%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
77%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 2.13–0.81, form 57/16, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 6 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h