← All predictions
Football model football_v1

UEFA Champions League

Barcelona crest Barcelona vs Aston Villa crest Aston Villa

Tue 03 Nov 2026, 20:00 · FT 3 - 0

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

76.8 high

Data quality

84%

sample 10

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Barcelona

2.33

Expected goals

total 4.43

Aston Villa

2.10

Metric Barcelona Aston Villa
Current form
88%
86%
Attack
78%
60%
Defence
57%
68%
Overall strength
82%
80%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
38%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 2.33–2.10, form 88/86, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 10 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h

Outcome WON · Won — Barcelona vs Aston Villa (3 - 0), selection "Over 2.5" => WON.