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Football model football_v1

EFL Championship

Watford crest Watford vs Lincoln City crest Lincoln City

Tue 03 Nov 2026, 19:45

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

63.9 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 10

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Watford

1.48

Expected goals

total 3.42

Lincoln City

1.94

Metric Watford Lincoln City
Current form
18%
31%
Attack
33%
51%
Defence
29%
22%
Overall strength
37%
59%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
7%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.48–1.94, form 18/31, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 10 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h