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Football model football_v1

NCAAM Soccer

Navy crest Navy vs American University crest American University

Wed 04 Nov 2026, 00:00 · FT 2 - 3

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

78.3 high

Data quality

84%

sample 1

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Navy

2.28

Expected goals

total 4.58

American University

2.31

Metric Navy American University
Current form
8%
38%
Attack
63%
52%
Defence
31%
48%
Overall strength
33%
50%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
36%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 2.28–2.31, form 8/38, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h

Outcome WON · Won — Navy vs American University (2 - 3), selection "Over 2.5" => WON.