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Football model football_v1

EFL League One

Oxford United crest Oxford United vs Reading crest Reading

Wed 04 Nov 2026, 19:45

Double Chance

12

Confidence

69.1 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 1

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Oxford United

1.17

Expected goals

total 2.44

Reading

1.27

Metric Oxford United Reading
Current form
38%
93%
Attack
42%
54%
Defence
58%
52%
Overall strength
49%
72%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
26%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.17–1.27, form 38/93, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h