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Football model football_v1

Europa League

Benfica crest Benfica vs Lech Poznan crest Lech Poznan

Thu 05 Nov 2026, 20:00

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

79.2 high

Data quality

84%

sample 9

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Benfica

3.96

Expected goals

total 4.69

Lech Poznan

0.73

Metric Benfica Lech Poznan
Current form
86%
8%
Attack
74%
35%
Defence
62%
31%
Overall strength
85%
26%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
94%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 3.96–0.73, form 86/8, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 9 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h