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Football model football_v1

UEFA Conference League

FC Midtjylland crest FC Midtjylland vs Ajax Amsterdam crest Ajax Amsterdam

Thu 05 Nov 2026, 17:45 · FT 1 - 6

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

55.6 low

Data quality

19%

sample 7

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

FC Midtjylland

1.55

Expected goals

total 4.19

Ajax Amsterdam

2.64

Metric FC Midtjylland Ajax Amsterdam
Current form
50%
77%
Attack
50%
97%
Defence
50%
46%
Overall strength
51%
72%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
50%
Availability (injuries)
75%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.55–2.64, form 50/77, H2H 50%, data quality 19%. Missing: form, h2h, standings, statistics.

Model football_v1 · sample size 7 · data quality 19%

Missing sources: form, h2h, standings, statistics

Outcome WON · Won — FC Midtjylland vs Ajax Amsterdam (1 - 6), selection "Over 2.5" => WON.