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Football model football_v1

Eredivisie

FC Utrecht crest FC Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle crest PEC Zwolle

Sat 24 Oct 2026, 14:30 · FT 1 - 1

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

59.5 low

Data quality

40%

sample 2

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

FC Utrecht

2.20

Expected goals

total 3.85

PEC Zwolle

1.65

Metric FC Utrecht PEC Zwolle
Current form
96%
58%
Attack
54%
50%
Defence
57%
57%
Overall strength
77%
58%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
50%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 2.20–1.65, form 96/58, H2H 50%, data quality 40%. Missing: h2h, standings, statistics, availability, lineup.

Model football_v1 · sample size 2 · data quality 40%

Missing sources: h2h, standings, statistics, availability, lineup

Outcome LOST · Lost — FC Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle (1 - 1), selection "Over 2.5" => LOST.