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Football model football_v1

EFL Championship

Derby County crest Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers crest Bolton Wanderers

Fri 06 Nov 2026, 20:00

Double Chance

12

Confidence

64.3 medium

Data quality

52%

sample 10

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Derby County

1.52

Expected goals

total 3.38

Bolton Wanderers

1.86

Metric Derby County Bolton Wanderers
Current form
22%
45%
Attack
37%
60%
Defence
41%
30%
Overall strength
40%
51%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
49%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.52–1.86, form 22/45, H2H 50%, data quality 52%. Missing: h2h, standings, statistics.

Model football_v1 · sample size 10 · data quality 52%

Missing sources: h2h, standings, statistics