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Football model football_v1

Première Ligue

Nantes vs Toulouse

Fri 06 Nov 2026, 18:00

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

53.0 low

Data quality

19%

sample 1

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Nantes

1.99

Expected goals

total 3.36

Toulouse

1.37

Metric Nantes Toulouse
Current form
93%
50%
Attack
60%
50%
Defence
46%
50%
Overall strength
83%
49%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
71%
Availability (injuries)
75%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.99–1.37, form 93/50, H2H 50%, data quality 19%. Missing: form, h2h, standings, statistics.

Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 19%

Missing sources: form, h2h, standings, statistics